METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 87: Seek And Destroy
Minneapolis, USA
9 Aug 2008
Middleweight
VS
65%
Maia
35%
MacDonald
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:44
★ Official Result
Demian MaiawinsSubmissionR3 · 2:44
def. Jason MacDonald · UFC 87: Seek And Destroy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maia
→
Actual result
Maia wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Maia holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but MacDonald has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
MacDonald has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
MacDonald has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
MacDonald has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MaiaMacDonald
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Maia
MacDonald
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
72"
Reach
+80"
48+
Age
51
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
MacDonald
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
17.3
50.8
Performance Avg
48.8
40
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
52
Maia
MacDonald
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
0.7
41%
Strike Accuracy
51%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
5Ground1
Maia
MacDonald
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
MacDonald
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
14/41 fights
Maia
MacDonald
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Maia
MacDonald
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
11
Submission Wins
4
10
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maia
MacDonald
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
MaiaMacDonald
Strike Zones
Maia
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMacDonald
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (100% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯MacDonald targets the head (50% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maia
RND
MacDonald
0/0R00/0
Maia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
MacDonald · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
MacDonald · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tom LawlorRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R1
Ryan JensenRating 5Submission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · KO · R1
John SalterRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Nate QuarryRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04