UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
Jacksonville, USA
9 Apr 2022
Welterweight
VS
94%
Garry
6%
Weeks
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Ian
Ian Machado Garry
"The Future"
17 – 1
6'3"74" reachOrthodox28 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 65
DW
Darian Weeks
5 – 3
Well-Rounded3-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 4

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Garry

Garry is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 61 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Garry has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.

Garry has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Garry
Weeks
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
72"
28+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Garry
Weeks
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.8
4.1
57.1
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Garry
Weeks
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.7
59%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
9
4
Body
4
7
Leg
7
RangeRange
36Distance19
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Garry
Weeks
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Garry
Weeks
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
3/8 fights
Garry
Weeks
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Garry
Weeks
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Garry
Weeks
Striking4.8 / 0.0Volume7.4 / 0.0Grappling1.7 / 0.0Wrestling1.2 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Garry
Strike Zones
Weeks
Garry
Attacking
28HEAD4BODY7LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD4BODY7LEGS20 absorbed
Weeks
Attacking
9HEAD4BODY7LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD4BODY7LEGS39 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Garry targets the head (72% of attacks) — Weeks absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Weeks targets the head (45% of attacks) — Garry absorbs 45% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Garry
RND
Weeks
0/0R00/0

Garry · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W4.5W5.3W5.9W5.9W5.1W5.5W5.3W7.6L6.7W5.6W2021-112023-032024-022025-042025-11
WinLossTrend

Weeks · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.1
0105.9L7.0L5.5L2021-122022-042022-09
WinLossTrend

Garry · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Carlos PratesRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R5
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 7.6
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Geoff NealRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Weeks · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Yohan LainesseRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7
Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12

News & Media

Ian Machado Garry · Darian Weeks
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