UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
Jacksonville, USA
9 Apr 2022
Bantamweight
VS
47%
Arce
53%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Julio
Julio Arce
19 – 6
5'7"70" reachSouthpaw36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Daniel
Daniel Santos
"Willycat"
14 – 3
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 56

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Santos

This is a genuine toss-up — Arce at 47% vs Santos at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Arce
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
67"
36
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Arce
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.4
55.6
49.5
Performance Avg
50.7
43
Quality of Victory
40
65
Momentum Score
71
Arce
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.9
36%
Strike Accuracy
41%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
8
9
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
47Distance13
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Arce
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Arce
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/25 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Arce
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
71
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Arce
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arce
Santos
Striking6.2 / 6.3Volume3.9 / 5.3Grappling2.1 / 1.2Wrestling1.5 / 0.8Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Arce
Strike Zones
Santos
Arce
Attacking
38HEAD9BODY0LEGS47 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD5BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
8HEAD5BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
38HEAD9BODY0LEGS47 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arce targets the head (81% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (57% of attacks) — Arce absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arce
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0

Arce · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.2W5.5W5.5L5.7W5.6L5.2W4.1L5.5W6.4L5.6W2018-012019-052021-112024-03
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.2L6.0W4.5W5.6W6.7W4.5L2022-042022-102023-062025-052025-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Arce · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Herbert BurnsRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
Daniel SantosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · KO · R2
Song YadongRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
W · KO · R2
Andre EwellRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Dooho ChoiRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
JooSang YooRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
JeongYeong LeeRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Johnny MunozRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R2
John CastanedaRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10

News & Media

Julio Arce · Daniel Santos
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