★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
Las Vegas, USA
14 Sept 2024
Bantamweight
VS
52%
O'Malley
48%
Dvalishvili
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: O'Malley
This is a genuine toss-up — O'Malley at 52% vs Dvalishvili at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
O'Malley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
O'Malley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
O'Malley's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
O'Malley
Dvalishvili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'6"
72"+
Reach
68"
31+
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
O'Malley
Dvalishvili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.3
60.4
59.5
Performance Avg
53.2
47
Quality of Victory
34
95
Momentum Score
100
O'Malley
Dvalishvili
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.4
62%
Strike Accuracy
43%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
9
Body
0
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
11Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground5
O'Malley
Dvalishvili
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.1
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
O'Malley
Dvalishvili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
O'Malley
Dvalishvili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
100
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
O'Malley
Dvalishvili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
14%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
O'Malley
Dvalishvili
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
O'MalleyDvalishvili
Strike Zones
O'Malley
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedDvalishvili
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯O'Malley targets the body (82% of attacks) — Dvalishvili absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Dvalishvili targets the legs (80% of attacks) — O'Malley absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
O'Malley
RND
Dvalishvili
0/0R00/0
O'Malley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Dvalishvili · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
O'Malley · Last 5
Upcoming
Aiemann ZahabiUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 5.8Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 4Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R5
Marlon VeraRating 5.3Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
Dvalishvili · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Petr YanRating 7Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Sub · R3
Sean O'MalleyRating 6.8Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovRating 5.8Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 6Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

