METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
Kallang, Singapore
26 Oct 2019
Lightweight
VS
70%
Johnson
30%
Ray
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Stevie RaywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Michael Johnson · UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Ray wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Johnson is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ray has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ray has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonRay
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Ray
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
70"
40
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Johnson
Ray
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
15.4
42.5
Performance Avg
46.0
38
Quality of Victory
34
35
Momentum Score
46
Johnson
Ray
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
2.0
39%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
32
2
Body
1
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground28
Johnson
Ray
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Ray
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/45 fights
Chin rating based on
11/32 fights
Johnson
Ray
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
46
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Johnson
Ray
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
29%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Ray
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
JohnsonRay
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedRay
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (79% of attacks) — Ray absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Ray targets the head (86% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Ray
0/0R00/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Ray · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Drew DoberRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Ottman AzaitarRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Darrius FlowersRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
Ray · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Leonardo SantosRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Jessin AyariRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Paul FelderRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07