METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
Miami, USA
8 Apr 2023
Welterweight
VS
53%
Holland
47%
Ponzinibbio
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:16
★ Official Result
Kevin HollandwinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:16
def. Santiago Ponzinibbio · UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holland
→
Actual result
Holland wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Holland at 53% vs Ponzinibbio at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ponzinibbio has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollandPonzinibbio
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holland
Ponzinibbio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
81"+
Reach
73"
33+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holland
Ponzinibbio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
40.9
49.3
Performance Avg
49.4
44
Quality of Victory
44
51
Momentum Score
26
Holland
Ponzinibbio
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
7.0
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
5.8
3.6
Style: Volume
4.5
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
2
Body
1
6
Leg
9
RangeRange
13Distance16
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Holland
Ponzinibbio
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holland
Ponzinibbio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.2 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/44 fights
Chin rating based on
21/40 fights
Holland
Ponzinibbio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
26
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Holland
Ponzinibbio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
58%
5
KO / TKO Wins
7
6
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holland
Ponzinibbio
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
HollandPonzinibbio
Strike Zones
Holland
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedPonzinibbio
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the head (43% of attacks) — Ponzinibbio absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Ponzinibbio targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holland
RND
Ponzinibbio
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Holland · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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Mike MalottDecision
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Daniel RodriguezDecision
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Vicente LuqueSubmission
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Gunnar NelsonDecision
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Ponzinibbio · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Sam PattersonKO/TKO
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L · KO · R3
Daniel RodriguezKO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
Carlston HarrisKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R3
Kevin HollandKO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04