METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway
Barueri, Brazil
20 Dec 2014
Middleweight
VS
92%
Sarafian
8%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:01
★ Official Result
Daniel SarafianwinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:01
def. Antonio Dos Santos · UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sarafian
→
Actual result
Sarafian wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Sarafian is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sarafian has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.
Risk flags
Sarafian's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SarafianSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sarafian
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
73"
Reach
44
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sarafian
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
1.6
46.0
Performance Avg
0.0
55
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Sarafian
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
0.7
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
4
2
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sarafian
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sarafian
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
56
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Sarafian
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Sarafian
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sarafian
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SarafianSantos
Strike Zones
Sarafian
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedSantos
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sarafian targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (80% of attacks) — Sarafian absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sarafian
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Sarafian · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Oluwale BamgboseKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · KO · R2
Antonio Dos SantosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · Sub · R1
Kiichi KunimotoSubmission
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
W · Sub · R1
Eddie MendezSubmission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
Santos · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Scott AskhamKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · KO · R2
Daniel SarafianKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12