METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
Newark, USA
30 Jan 2016
Lightweight
VS
88%
Martin
12%
Olivieri
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:02
★ Official Result
Anthony Rocco MartinwinsSubmissionR3 · 3:02
def. Felipe Olivieri · UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Martin
→
Actual result
Martin wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Martin is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Martin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Olivieri has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Martin's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MartinOlivieri
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Martin
Olivieri
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
73"
Reach
36+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Martin
Olivieri
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
2.5
45.3
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Martin
Olivieri
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.4
37%
Strike Accuracy
57%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
5
1
Body
7
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
12Distance17
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Martin
Olivieri
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Martin
Olivieri
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
1/19 fights
Martin
Olivieri
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Martin
Olivieri
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Martin
Olivieri
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MartinOlivieri
Strike Zones
Martin
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedOlivieri
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Martin targets the head (85% of attacks) — Olivieri absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Olivieri targets the body (41% of attacks) — Martin absorbs 41% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Martin
RND
Olivieri
0/0R00/0
Martin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Martin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
Olivieri · Last 1
L · Sub · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01