METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
Newark, USA
30 Jan 2016
Lightweight
VS
88%
Martin
12%
Olivieri
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:02
★ Official Result
Anthony Rocco MartinwinsSubmissionR3 · 3:02
def. Felipe Olivieri · UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Martin
→
Actual result
Martin wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Martin is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Martin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Risk flags
Martin's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MartinOlivieri
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Martin
Olivieri
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
73"
Reach
36+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Martin
Olivieri
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
2.5
45.3
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Martin
Olivieri
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.6
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
5
1
Body
7
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
12Distance17
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Martin
Olivieri
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Martin
Olivieri
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
1/19 fights
Martin
Olivieri
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Martin
Olivieri
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Martin
Olivieri
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MartinOlivieri
Strike Zones
Martin
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedOlivieri
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Martin targets the head (85% of attacks) — Olivieri absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Olivieri targets the body (41% of attacks) — Martin absorbs 41% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Martin
RND
Olivieri
0/0R00/0
Martin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Demian MaiaDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Sergio MoraesDecision
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W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
Olivieri · Last 1
L · Sub · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinSubmission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01