METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2015
Middleweight
VS
70%
Weidman
30%
Belfort
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:53
★ Official Result
Chris WeidmanwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:53
def. Vitor Belfort · UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Weidman
→
Actual result
Weidman wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Weidman is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Belfort has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Weidman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Belfort has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WeidmanBelfort
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Weidman
Belfort
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
74"
42+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Weidman
Belfort
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.1
21.9
57.0
Performance Avg
59.2
55
Quality of Victory
59
51
Momentum Score
91
Weidman
Belfort
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.4
48%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
46
Head
15
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance10
0Clinch8
43Ground0
Weidman
Belfort
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Weidman
Belfort
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
7
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/24 fights
Chin rating based on
26/40 fights
Weidman
Belfort
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
91
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Weidman
Belfort
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
87%
4
KO / TKO Wins
11
3
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Weidman
Belfort
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.7
WeidmanBelfort
Strike Zones
Weidman
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedBelfort
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Weidman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Belfort absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Belfort targets the head (83% of attacks) — Weidman absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Weidman
RND
Belfort
0/0R00/0
Weidman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Belfort · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Weidman · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Eryk AndersRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Uriah HallRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
Belfort · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
Upcoming
Kelvin GastelumUFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · KO · R2
Gegard MousasiRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05