★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2015
Middleweight
VS
70%
Weidman
30%
Belfort
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:53
Chris
Chris Weidman
"The All-American"
16 – 8
6'2"78" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 51
VB
Vitor Belfort
"The Phenom"
26 – 14
Knockout Artist49 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Weidman

Weidman is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Belfort has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Weidman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Belfort has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Weidman
Belfort
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
74"
41+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Weidman
Belfort
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.1
21.9
57.0
Performance Avg
59.2
55
Quality of Victory
59
51
Momentum Score
91
Weidman
Belfort
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
48%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
46
Head
15
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance10
0Clinch8
43Ground0
Weidman
Belfort
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Weidman
Belfort
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
7
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/24 fights
Chin rating based on
26/40 fights
Weidman
Belfort
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
91
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Weidman
Belfort
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
87%
4
KO / TKO Wins
11
3
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Weidman
Belfort
Striking4.5 / 8.5Volume4.5 / 1.7Grappling3.0 / 1.2Wrestling2.1 / 0.9Submission2.5 / 1.3Pressure5.9 / 7.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.7
Weidman
Strike Zones
Belfort
Weidman
Attacking
46HEAD0BODY0LEGS46 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD3BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Belfort
Attacking
15HEAD3BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
46HEAD0BODY0LEGS46 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Weidman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Belfort absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Belfort targets the head (83% of attacks) — Weidman absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Weidman
RND
Belfort
0/0R00/0

Weidman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.1W5.1W5.1W4.5W5.0W3.4L4.0L2.8L5.6W4.0L2.5L4.5W1.5L5.5L5.8W3.5L2011-032013-072016-112020-082024-12
WinLossTrend

Belfort · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.0W4.0W4.8L5.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.2L5.1W5.0W5.0W2.3L5.0W1.5L2.8L4.5W2.8L1997-022003-062012-012016-052018-05
WinLossTrend

Weidman · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Eryk AndersRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Uriah HallRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08

Belfort · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
Upcoming
Kelvin Gastelum
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · KO · R2
Gegard MousasiRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05

News & Media

Chris Weidman · Vitor Belfort
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