METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
Minneapolis, USA
5 Oct 2012
Lightweight
VS
68%
Johnson
32%
Castillo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:06
★ Official Result
Michael JohnsonwinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:06
def. Danny Castillo · UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Castillo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Castillo has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonCastillo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Castillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
71"
40+
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Castillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
17.2
42.5
Performance Avg
40.6
38
Quality of Victory
34
35
Momentum Score
89
Johnson
Castillo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
3.5
6.0
Style: Volume
6.7
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
1
2
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance2
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Johnson
Castillo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Castillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/45 fights
Chin rating based on
14/27 fights
Johnson
Castillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
89
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Johnson
Castillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
29%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Castillo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
JohnsonCastillo
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedCastillo
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (57% of attacks) — Castillo absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Castillo targets the head (50% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Castillo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johnson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Drew DoberKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Ottman AzaitarKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Darrius FlowersDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
Castillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzDecision
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Jim MillerDecision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Paul FelderKO/TKO
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonDecision
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08
W · KO · R2
Charlie BrennemanKO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04