UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
Chicago, USA
9 Jun 2018
Heavyweight
VS
53%
Arlovski
47%
Tuivasa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Arlovski
This is a genuine toss-up — Arlovski at 53% vs Tuivasa at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Tuivasa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tuivasa has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Arlovski
Tuivasa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
77"+
Reach
75"
47
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Arlovski
Tuivasa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
43.2
50.5
Performance Avg
50.4
47
Quality of Victory
54
94
Momentum Score
20
Arlovski
Tuivasa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
55%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.6
9 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
14
4
Body
5
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
17Distance20
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Arlovski
Tuivasa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.2
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Tuivasa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
18/25 fights
Arlovski
Tuivasa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
20
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Arlovski
Tuivasa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
88%
9
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arlovski
Tuivasa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.6
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.9
ArlovskiTuivasa
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTuivasa
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (68% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Tuivasa targets the head (64% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arlovski
RND
Tuivasa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Arlovski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Tuivasa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
Tuivasa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Louie SutherlandRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.7Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 6.6Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 1.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Sub · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 4Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

