METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
London, United Kingdom
22 Jul 2023
Lightweight
VS
38%
Diakiese
62%
Alvarez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:26
★ Official Result
Joel AlvarezwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:26
def. Marc Diakiese · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alvarez
→
Actual result
Alvarez wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Alvarez holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Diakiese has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Alvarez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Alvarez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Diakiese's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alvarez has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DiakieseAlvarez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Diakiese
Alvarez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+77"
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Diakiese
Alvarez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.3
60.9
41.2
Performance Avg
59.7
33
Quality of Victory
51
88
Momentum Score
59
Diakiese
Alvarez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
2.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
57%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
0
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance6
0Clinch2
0Ground3
Diakiese
Alvarez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Diakiese
Alvarez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
11/27 fights
Diakiese
Alvarez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
59
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
Diakiese
Alvarez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
88%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diakiese
Alvarez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
DiakieseAlvarez
Strike Zones
Diakiese
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedAlvarez
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diakiese targets the head (100% of attacks) — Alvarez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Alvarez targets the head (45% of attacks) — Diakiese absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diakiese
RND
Alvarez
0/0R00/0
Diakiese · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Alvarez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Diakiese · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kaue FernandesRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
L · Sub · R2
Joel AlvarezRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
Alvarez · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Yaroslav AmosovRating 5Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Vicente LuqueRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Drakkar KloseRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · KO · R3
Elves BrenerRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Sub · R2
Marc DiakieseRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07