METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
London, United Kingdom
22 Jul 2023
Lightweight
VS
39%
Diakiese
61%
Alvarez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:26
★ Official Result
Joel AlvarezwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:26
def. Marc Diakiese · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alvarez
→
Actual result
Alvarez wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Alvarez holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Diakiese has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Alvarez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Diakiese's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alvarez has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DiakieseAlvarez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Diakiese
Alvarez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+77"
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Diakiese
Alvarez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.3
59.3
41.2
Performance Avg
57.2
33
Quality of Victory
51
88
Momentum Score
59
Diakiese
Alvarez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
6.3
/ 10
3.4
Style: Pressure
8.1
7.1
Style: Volume
2.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
0
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance6
0Clinch2
0Ground3
Diakiese
Alvarez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diakiese
Alvarez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Diakiese
Alvarez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
59
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Diakiese
Alvarez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
88%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diakiese
Alvarez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
DiakieseAlvarez
Strike Zones
Diakiese
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedAlvarez
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diakiese targets the head (100% of attacks) — Alvarez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Alvarez targets the head (45% of attacks) — Diakiese absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diakiese
RND
Alvarez
0/0R00/0
Diakiese · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kaue FernandesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
L · Sub · R2
Joel AlvarezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Viacheslav BorshchevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
Alvarez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Chidi NjokuaniDecision
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L · Sub · R2
Yaroslav AmosovSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Vicente LuqueDecision
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W · KO · R1
Drakkar KloseKO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
Elves BrenerKO/TKO
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