UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2016
Welterweight
VS
54%
Pyle
46%
Garcia
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:34
MP
Mike Pyle
"Quicksand"
27 – 14
6'0"74" reachOrthodox50 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
AG
Alex Garcia
"The Dominican Nightmare"
15 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pyle

This is a genuine toss-up — Pyle at 54% vs Garcia at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Pyle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Pyle's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pyle
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
72"
50
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pyle
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
16.6
47.8
Performance Avg
46.3
45
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
40
Pyle
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
32%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
13
2
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance12
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Pyle
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pyle
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
70
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
7
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/41 fights
Chin rating based on
10/21 fights
Pyle
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Pyle
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
60%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pyle
Garcia
Striking6.0 / 5.0Volume3.5 / 4.2Grappling2.3 / 2.6Wrestling1.6 / 1.8Submission2.0 / 2.0Pressure6.5 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Pyle
Strike Zones
Garcia
Pyle
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Garcia
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pyle targets the head (40% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (93% of attacks) — Pyle absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pyle
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Pyle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0101.5L5.5W2.8L5.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W4.5W1.9L5.5W1.5L6.8L5.5W2.8L1.5L1.5L2009-052011-032013-052016-022018-03
WinLossTrend

Garcia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W4.5W6.1L4.5W5.1L5.0W5.6L6.2W5.5L5.7L2013-122015-072017-062018-10
WinLossTrend

Pyle · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Zak OttowRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Alex GarciaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Alberto MinaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · KO · R3
Sean SpencerRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05

Garcia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Sub · R2
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12

News & Media

Mike Pyle · Alex Garcia
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