UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
Atlanta, USA
13 Apr 2019
Lightweight
VS
61%
Turner
39%
Frevola
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Turner
Turner holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Frevola has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Turner has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Turner's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Frevola has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Turner
Frevola
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'9"
77"+
Reach
71"
31+
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Turner
Frevola
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.7
38.6
56.4
Performance Avg
45.8
56
Quality of Victory
46
65
Momentum Score
20
Turner
Frevola
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
1.9
51%
Strike Accuracy
46%
7.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
4
Body
2
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
13Distance9
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Turner
Frevola
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Turner
Frevola
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
8
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
12/17 fights
Turner
Frevola
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
20
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Turner
Frevola
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
60%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Turner
Frevola
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
1.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
TurnerFrevola
Strike Zones
Turner
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedFrevola
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Turner targets the head (71% of attacks) — Frevola absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Frevola targets the head (50% of attacks) — Turner absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Turner
RND
Frevola
0/0R00/0
Turner · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Frevola · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Turner · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Ignacio BahamondesRating 2.8Submission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Renato MoicanoRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
King GreenRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
Frevola · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kyle NelsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R3
Fares ZiamRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · KO · R1
Benoit Saint DenisRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11