METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
Atlanta, USA
13 Apr 2019
Lightweight
VS
63%
Turner
37%
Frevola
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Matt FrevolawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jalin Turner · UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Turner
→
Actual result
Frevola wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Turner holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Frevola has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Turner has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Turner's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Frevola has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TurnerFrevola
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Turner
Frevola
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'9"
77"+
Reach
71"
31+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Turner
Frevola
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.4
38.6
57.8
Performance Avg
45.8
56
Quality of Victory
46
85
Momentum Score
20
Turner
Frevola
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.9
/ 10
6.9
/ 10
8.8
Style: Pressure
5.6
1.2
Style: Volume
4.1
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
4
Body
2
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
13Distance9
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Turner
Frevola
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Turner
Frevola
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
8
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
12/17 fights
Turner
Frevola
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
20
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Turner
Frevola
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
60%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Turner
Frevola
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
TurnerFrevola
Strike Zones
Turner
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedFrevola
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Turner targets the head (71% of attacks) — Frevola absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Frevola targets the head (50% of attacks) — Turner absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Turner
RND
Frevola
0/0R00/0
Turner · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Kaue FernandesKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Ignacio BahamondesSubmission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Renato MoicanoKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
King GreenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
Frevola · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kyle NelsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R3
Fares ZiamKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · KO · R1
Benoit Saint DenisKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Drew DoberKO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarKO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11