UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
Edmonton, Canada
9 Sept 2017
Lightweight
VS
45%
Clarke
55%
White
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:36
MC
Mitch Clarke
"Danger Zone"
11 – 5
5'10"73" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 11
AW
Alex White
"The Spartan"
13 – 6
Well-Rounded37 yrsSouthpaw71" reach6'0"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: White

This is a genuine toss-up — Clarke at 45% vs White at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

White has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Clarke's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

White has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Clarke
White
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
73"+
Reach
71"
40
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Clarke
White
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.9
13.2
33.8
Performance Avg
40.8
37
Quality of Victory
41
10
Momentum Score
15
Clarke
White
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.6
36%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
36
1
Body
6
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance19
3Clinch23
0Ground1
Clarke
White
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Clarke
White
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/16 fights
Chin rating based on
10/19 fights
Clarke
White
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
15
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Clarke
White
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Clarke
White
Striking0.6 / 5.8Volume4.6 / 4.8Grappling5.2 / 1.2Wrestling3.6 / 0.8Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.4 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Clarke
Strike Zones
White
Clarke
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
36HEAD6BODY1LEGS43 absorbed
White
Attacking
36HEAD6BODY1LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Clarke targets the head (71% of attacks) — White absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯White targets the head (84% of attacks) — Clarke absorbs 84% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Clarke
RND
White
0/0R00/0
0/0R30/0

Clarke · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0102.8L5.5L4.5W5.2W6.3L1.5L2.8L2011-122013-062015-042017-09
WinLossTrend

White · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W4.0L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.2W5.5L1.9L4.5W6.5L2014-042016-022018-012019-10
WinLossTrend

Clarke · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alex WhiteRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R1
Joe DuffyRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
W · Sub · R2
Al IaquintaRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
John MaguireRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06

White · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rafael FizievRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Dan MoretRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
James KrauseRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
W · KO · R2
Mitch ClarkeRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09

News & Media

Mitch Clarke · Alex White
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