METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
Los Angeles, USA
28 Feb 2015
Women's Bantamweight
VS
56%
Pennington
44%
Holm
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Raquel
Raquel Pennington
"Rocky"
16 – 10
5'7"67" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 47
Holly
Holly Holm
"The Preacher's Daughter"
15 – 7
Well-Rounded44 yrsSouthpaw69" reach5'8"
CFR 37
★ Official Result
Holly HolmwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Raquel Pennington · UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pennington
→
Actual result
Holm wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Pennington at 56% vs Holm at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Pennington's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Holm has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PenningtonHolm
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pennington
Holm
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+69"
38+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pennington
Holm
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.8
37.1
46.8
Performance Avg
46.5
32
Quality of Victory
42
80
Momentum Score
30
Pennington
Holm
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
3.7
Style: Pressure
3.4
7.5
Style: Volume
7.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
5
0
Body
9
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
15Distance10
1Clinch6
1Ground0
Pennington
Holm
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
2.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pennington
Holm
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
46
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
16/22 fights
Pennington
Holm
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
30
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Pennington
Holm
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
23%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pennington
Holm
Striking1.4 / 3.6Volume7.5 / 7.1Grappling3.7 / 1.8Wrestling2.6 / 1.3Submission2.3 / 0.0Pressure3.7 / 3.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Pennington
Strike Zones
Holm
Pennington
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY5LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD9BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Holm
Attacking
5HEAD9BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY5LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pennington targets the head (71% of attacks) — Holm absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Holm targets the body (56% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pennington
RND
Holm
0/0R00/0

Pennington · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Julianna Pena
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Mayra Bueno Silva
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen Vieira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Aspen Ladd
Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Sub · R2
Macy Chiasson
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12

Holm · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Kayla Harrison
Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Upcoming
Mayra Bueno Silva
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Yana Santos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen Vieira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
W · Dec · R5
Irene Aldana
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10

News & Media

Raquel Pennington · Holly Holm
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