UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2
Las Vegas, USA
21 Nov 2009
Welterweight
VS
42%
Koscheck
58%
Johnson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:47
JK
Josh Koscheck
17 – 11
5'10"73" reachOrthodox48 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
AJ
Anthony Johnson
"Rumble"
22 – 6
Knockout Artist42 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

This is a genuine toss-up — Koscheck at 42% vs Johnson at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Koscheck's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Johnson has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Koscheck
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+78"
48
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Koscheck
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
23.1
50.5
Performance Avg
60.4
44
Quality of Victory
55
59
Momentum Score
100
Koscheck
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.5
39%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
5
1
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance6
0Clinch0
7Ground1
Koscheck
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.4
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Koscheck
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
18
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
15 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/28 fights
Chin rating based on
19/28 fights
Koscheck
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Koscheck
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
85%
6
KO / TKO Wins
11
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Koscheck
Johnson
Striking5.2 / 9.8Volume4.4 / 2.6Grappling2.6 / 0.4Wrestling1.8 / 0.3Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure6.0 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.8
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.6
Koscheck
Strike Zones
Johnson
Koscheck
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY2LEGS7 absorbed
Johnson
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY2LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Koscheck targets the head (92% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (71% of attacks) — Koscheck absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Koscheck
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0

Koscheck · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.0W4.0L5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L1.8L1.5L2.8L1.5L2005-042007-042009-092013-022015-03
WinLossTrend

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W2.8L5.0W4.0L5.5W5.0W5.0W2.8L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.8L5.2W5.0W5.4W2.1L2007-062009-022012-012015-092017-04
WinLossTrend

Koscheck · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Jake EllenbergerRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Robbie LawlerRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05

Johnson · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Daniel CormierRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Jimi ManuwaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Daniel CormierRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05

News & Media

Josh Koscheck · Anthony Johnson
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