METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2
Las Vegas, USA
21 Nov 2009
Welterweight
VS
42%
Koscheck
58%
Johnson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:47
★ Official Result
Josh KoscheckwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:47
def. Anthony Johnson · UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Koscheck wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Koscheck at 42% vs Johnson at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Koscheck's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Johnson has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KoscheckJohnson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Koscheck
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+78"
48
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Koscheck
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
23.1
50.5
Performance Avg
60.4
44
Quality of Victory
55
59
Momentum Score
100
Koscheck
Johnson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.5
39%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
5
1
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance6
0Clinch0
7Ground1
Koscheck
Johnson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.4
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Koscheck
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
18
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
15 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/28 fights
Chin rating based on
19/28 fights
Koscheck
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Koscheck
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
85%
6
KO / TKO Wins
11
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Koscheck
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.8
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.6
KoscheckJohnson
Strike Zones
Koscheck
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Koscheck targets the head (92% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (71% of attacks) — Koscheck absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Koscheck
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
Koscheck · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Koscheck · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Jake EllenbergerRating 2.8Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Robbie LawlerRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
Johnson · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Daniel CormierRating 2.1Submission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Jimi ManuwaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Daniel CormierRating 2.8Submission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05