METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen
Boston, USA
17 Aug 2013
Lightweight
VS
32%
Lauzon
68%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Michael JohnsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joe Lauzon · UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Lauzon has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lauzon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Johnson throws more volume but Lauzon connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lauzon's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Johnson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LauzonJohnson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lauzon
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lauzon
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
36.8
51.5
Performance Avg
42.5
49
Quality of Victory
38
59
Momentum Score
35
Lauzon
Johnson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.4
43%
Strike Accuracy
39%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
36
1
Body
8
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
7Distance44
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Lauzon
Johnson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lauzon
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
32/45 fights
Lauzon
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
35
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Lauzon
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
38%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
7
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lauzon
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
LauzonJohnson
Strike Zones
Lauzon
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lauzon targets the head (86% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (77% of attacks) — Lauzon absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lauzon
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Lauzon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Lauzon · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · KO · R1
Clay GuidaRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Marcin HeldRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
Johnson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Drew DoberRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Ottman AzaitarRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Darrius FlowersRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05