UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland
Las Vegas, USA
10 Apr 2021
Welterweight
VS
47%
Kasanganay
53%
Palatnikov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 0:26
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Palatnikov
This is a genuine toss-up — Kasanganay at 47% vs Palatnikov at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Palatnikov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Kasanganay throws more volume but Palatnikov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Kasanganay's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kasanganay
Palatnikov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
75"+
Reach
72"
32+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Kasanganay
Palatnikov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.5
28.8
42.3
Performance Avg
43.3
37
Quality of Victory
50
57
Momentum Score
52
Kasanganay
Palatnikov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.2
38%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Kasanganay
Palatnikov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kasanganay
Palatnikov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
3/10 fights
Kasanganay
Palatnikov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
57
52
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R3
Kasanganay
Palatnikov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kasanganay
Palatnikov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
KasanganayPalatnikov
Strike Zones
Kasanganay
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedPalatnikov
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kasanganay targets the head (100% of attacks) — Palatnikov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Palatnikov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kasanganay absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kasanganay
RND
Palatnikov
0/0R00/0
Kasanganay · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Palatnikov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Kasanganay · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Carlston HarrisRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
W · Sub · R2
Sasha PalatnikovRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · KO · R2
Joaquin BuckleyRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Maki PitoloRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
Palatnikov · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Ramiz BrahimajRating 3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Impa KasanganayRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
W · KO · R3
Louis CosceRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11