UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas
Las Vegas, USA
23 Mar 2024
Heavyweight
VS
49%
Usman
51%
Parkin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Parkin
This is a genuine toss-up — Usman at 49% vs Parkin at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Parkin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Usman
Parkin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
79"
Reach
79"
37
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Usman
Parkin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.7
57.2
46.2
Performance Avg
52.2
33
Quality of Victory
34
83
Momentum Score
78
Usman
Parkin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.5
44%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
22
14
Body
2
0
Leg
12
RangeRange
24Distance35
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Usman
Parkin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Usman
Parkin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
5/11 fights
Usman
Parkin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
78
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Usman
Parkin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Usman
Parkin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.6
UsmanParkin
Strike Zones
Usman
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedParkin
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Usman targets the body (58% of attacks) — Parkin absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Parkin targets the head (61% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Usman
RND
Parkin
0/0R00/0
Usman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Parkin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Usman · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Hamdy AbdelwahabRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Thomas PetersenRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Junior TafaRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
Parkin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Caio MachadoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Jamal PoguesRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07

