UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Apr 2024
Featherweight
VS
51%
Charriere
49%
Mariscal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Charriere
This is a genuine toss-up — Charriere at 51% vs Mariscal at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Charriere has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Mariscal has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Charriere
Mariscal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
69"
30+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Charriere
Mariscal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.3
56.9
53.0
Performance Avg
51.9
55
Quality of Victory
31
59
Momentum Score
80
Charriere
Mariscal
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
55%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
18
2
Body
3
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground9
Charriere
Mariscal
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Charriere
Mariscal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/33 fights
Chin rating based on
6/25 fights
Charriere
Mariscal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
80
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Charriere
Mariscal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
20%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Charriere
Mariscal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
CharriereMariscal
Strike Zones
Charriere
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedMariscal
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Charriere targets the head (50% of attacks) — Mariscal absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Mariscal targets the head (78% of attacks) — Charriere absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Charriere
RND
Mariscal
0/0R00/0
Charriere · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Mariscal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Charriere · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · KO · R3
Nate LandwehrRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · KO · R2
Gabriel MirandaRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
Mariscal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Pat SabatiniRating 6.5Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ricardo RamosRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Morgan CharriereRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Jack JenkinsRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

