METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Apr 2024
Featherweight
VS
50%
Charriere
50%
Mariscal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CFR 56
★ Official Result
Chepe MariscalwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Morgan Charriere · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Charriere
→
Actual result
Mariscal wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Charriere at 50% vs Mariscal at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Charriere has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CharriereMariscal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Charriere
Mariscal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
69"
30+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Charriere
Mariscal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.2
56.9
50.1
Performance Avg
51.9
55
Quality of Victory
31
52
Momentum Score
80
Charriere
Mariscal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
8.3
Style: Pressure
3.9
0.9
Style: Volume
8.1
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
18
2
Body
3
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground9
Charriere
Mariscal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Charriere
Mariscal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/33 fights
Chin rating based on
6/25 fights
Charriere
Mariscal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Charriere
Mariscal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
20%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Charriere
Mariscal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
CharriereMariscal
Strike Zones
Charriere
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedMariscal
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Charriere targets the head (50% of attacks) — Mariscal absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Mariscal targets the head (78% of attacks) — Charriere absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Charriere
RND
Mariscal
0/0R00/0
Charriere · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Felipe LimaDecision
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Melquizael CostaKO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
Nate LandwehrKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · KO · R2
Gabriel MirandaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
Mariscal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Pat SabatiniDecision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ricardo RamosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Morgan CharriereDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Jack JenkinsKO/TKO
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