METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
Calgary, Canada
28 Jul 2018
Lightweight
VS
65%
Makdessi
35%
Pearson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
John MakdessiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ross Pearson · UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Makdessi
→
Actual result
Makdessi wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Makdessi holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Pearson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Makdessi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Makdessi's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pearson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MakdessiPearson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Makdessi
Pearson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
+69"
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Makdessi
Pearson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.9
17.0
42.2
Performance Avg
44.3
34
Quality of Victory
42
51
Momentum Score
89
Makdessi
Pearson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
1.6
51%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
55
Head
16
2
Body
2
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
51Distance22
9Clinch0
0Ground0
Makdessi
Pearson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makdessi
Pearson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
26/36 fights
Makdessi
Pearson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
89
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Makdessi
Pearson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makdessi
Pearson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
MakdessiPearson
Strike Zones
Makdessi
Attacking
60 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedPearson
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
60 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makdessi targets the head (92% of attacks) — Pearson absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Pearson targets the head (73% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makdessi
RND
Pearson
0/0R00/0
Makdessi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Pearson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Makdessi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.7Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Jesus PinedoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
Pearson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Desmond GreenRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11