UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Sunrise, USA
27 Apr 2019
Heavyweight
VS
56%
Arlovski
44%
Sakai
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
34 – 24
6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
AS
Augusto Sakai
16 – 5
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'3"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arlovski

This is a genuine toss-up — Arlovski at 56% vs Sakai at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Arlovski throws more volume but Sakai connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sakai has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Arlovski
Sakai
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
77"
47
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Sakai
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
38.9
50.5
Performance Avg
44.4
47
Quality of Victory
37
94
Momentum Score
100
Arlovski
Sakai
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
9 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
9
12
Body
5
7
Leg
2
RangeRange
27Distance7
4Clinch9
0Ground0
Arlovski
Sakai
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Sakai
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
12
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
4
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Arlovski
Sakai
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R5
Arlovski
Sakai
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
40%
9
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arlovski
Sakai
Striking5.0 / 5.1Volume5.3 / 5.9Grappling1.9 / 1.4Wrestling1.4 / 1.0Submission0.9 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
Arlovski
Strike Zones
Sakai
Arlovski
Attacking
12HEAD12BODY7LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD5BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Sakai
Attacking
9HEAD5BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD12BODY7LEGS31 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (39% of attacks) — Sakai absorbs 39% of strikes there
🎯Sakai targets the head (56% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arlovski
RND
Sakai
0/0R00/0

Arlovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.6L2.1L2.8L1.9L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.9L5.5L5.7L4.5W2.6L5.2W5.1W5.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.1L3.1L7.0L6.5L2000-112006-122017-062021-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Sakai · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.5W5.2W5.4W4.5W4.0L2.6L3.2L3.3L4.8W2018-092020-052021-122023-02
WinLossTrend

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
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Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
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L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

Sakai · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
L · KO · R2
Serghei SpivacRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Tai TuivasaRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R5
Alistair OvereemRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09

News & Media

Andrei Arlovski · Augusto Sakai
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