METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Sunrise, USA
27 Apr 2019
Heavyweight
VS
63%
Arlovski
37%
Sakai
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Augusto SakaiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Andrei Arlovski · UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Arlovski
→
Actual result
Sakai wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Arlovski holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Sakai has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sakai has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ArlovskiSakai
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Arlovski
Sakai
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
77"
47
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Sakai
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
28.5
50.5
Performance Avg
44.4
47
Quality of Victory
37
94
Momentum Score
100
Arlovski
Sakai
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
5.1
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
4.5
5.3
Style: Volume
5.9
9 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
9
12
Body
5
7
Leg
2
RangeRange
27Distance7
4Clinch9
0Ground0
Arlovski
Sakai
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Sakai
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
12
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
4
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Arlovski
Sakai
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R5
Arlovski
Sakai
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
40%
9
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arlovski
Sakai
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
ArlovskiSakai
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedSakai
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (39% of attacks) — Sakai absorbs 39% of strikes there
🎯Sakai targets the head (56% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arlovski
RND
Sakai
0/0R00/0
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
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L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierDecision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
Sakai · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
L · KO · R2
Serghei SpivacKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Tai TuivasaKO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R5
Alistair OvereemKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09