UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal
Seoul, South Korea
28 Nov 2015
Middleweight
VS
43%
Yang
57%
Collier
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:50
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Collier
This is a genuine toss-up — Yang at 43% vs Collier at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Yang has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Collier throws more volume but Yang connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Collier has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Yang
Collier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+78"
41
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Yang
Collier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
26.7
49.0
Performance Avg
36.4
55
Quality of Victory
37
52
Momentum Score
45
Yang
Collier
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.9
53%
Strike Accuracy
43%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
1Clinch0
8Ground0
Yang
Collier
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Yang
Collier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
2
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/16 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Yang
Collier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
45
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Yang
Collier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yang
Collier
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
YangCollier
Strike Zones
Yang
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedCollier
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yang targets the head (91% of attacks) — Collier absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Collier targets the head (50% of attacks) — Yang absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yang
RND
Collier
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Yang · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Collier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Yang · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Jake CollierRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · KO · R2
Rob KimmonsRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 5.5Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
Collier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanRating 6.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5Decision
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L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
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W · Sub · R1
Chase ShermanRating 5Submission
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