UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler
Newark, USA
3 Aug 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
49%
Shevchenko
51%
Pudilova
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:20
AS
Antonina Shevchenko
"La Pantera"
10 – 4
5'8"67" reachSouthpaw41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 28
Lucie
Lucie Pudilova
14 – 10
Well-Rounded3-fight slide31 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'8"
CFR 29

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pudilova

This is a genuine toss-up — Shevchenko at 49% vs Pudilova at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Pudilova throws more volume but Shevchenko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Shevchenko's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Shevchenko
Pudilova
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
67"
Reach
67"
41
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Shevchenko
Pudilova
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.8
29.1
43.2
Performance Avg
31.9
39
Quality of Victory
35
73
Momentum Score
15
Shevchenko
Pudilova
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Shevchenko
Pudilova
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Shevchenko
Pudilova
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
74
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/14 fights
Chin rating based on
11/24 fights
Shevchenko
Pudilova
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
15
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Shevchenko
Pudilova
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shevchenko
Pudilova
Striking3.5 / 3.9Volume5.0 / 5.9Grappling3.2 / 1.6Wrestling2.2 / 1.1Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shevchenko
RND
Pudilova
0/0R00/0

Shevchenko · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.5L5.2W5.8L5.2W3.2L3.9L4.5W2018-112019-082020-112021-102022-07
WinLossTrend

Pudilova · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L4.5W4.5W6.3L5.5L2.8L5.5L5.2W6.9L6.5L6.1L2017-032018-092020-012023-112024-07
WinLossTrend

Shevchenko · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Casey O'NeillRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R2
Andrea LeeRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
W · KO · R2
Ariane da SilvaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05

Pudilova · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Luana CarolinaRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · Dec · R3
Joselyne EdwardsRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · KO · R2
Wu YananRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
L · Dec · R3
Justine KishRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01

News & Media

Antonina Shevchenko · Lucie Pudilova
← Back to fights