UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
Austin, USA
2 Dec 2023
Welterweight
VS
37%
Turman
63%
Gooden
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:11
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gooden
Gooden holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Turman has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gooden has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Striking split: Gooden throws more volume but Turman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Turman's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Turman
Gooden
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+77"
29+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Turman
Gooden
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.0
45.5
33.2
Performance Avg
44.3
33
Quality of Victory
55
15
Momentum Score
33
Turman
Gooden
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
24
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance15
1Clinch1
0Ground9
Turman
Gooden
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Turman
Gooden
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
90
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/33 fights
Turman
Gooden
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Turman
Gooden
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Turman
Gooden
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
TurmanGooden
Strike Zones
Turman
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedGooden
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Turman targets the head (90% of attacks) — Gooden absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Gooden targets the head (96% of attacks) — Turman absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Turman
RND
Gooden
0/0R00/0
Turman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Gooden · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Turman · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jared GoodenRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6Decision
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Sub · R2
Misha CirkunovRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
Gooden · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Chidi NjokuaniRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R2
Wellington TurmanRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Carlston HarrisRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
W · KO · R1
Niklas StolzeRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
