UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Sunrise, USA
27 Apr 2019
Welterweight
VS
65%
Oliveira
35%
Perry
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AO
Alex Oliveira
"Cowboy"
22 – 12
5'11"76" reachOrthodox38 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 30
MP
Mike Perry
"Platinum"
14 – 8
Striker2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Oliveira

Oliveira holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Perry has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Perry throws more volume but Oliveira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Oliveira's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Perry has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Oliveira
Perry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
71"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oliveira
Perry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.9
16.4
46.5
Performance Avg
44.4
43
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
50
Oliveira
Perry
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
54%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
18
1
Body
2
5
Leg
4
RangeRange
15Distance14
0Clinch9
0Ground1
Oliveira
Perry
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.0
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oliveira
Perry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/34 fights
Chin rating based on
15/22 fights
Oliveira
Perry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
50
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Oliveira
Perry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
57%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Oliveira
Perry
Striking4.7 / 6.7Volume4.0 / 4.4Grappling3.0 / 1.0Wrestling2.1 / 0.7Submission2.7 / 0.0Pressure6.0 / 5.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Oliveira
Strike Zones
Perry
Oliveira
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY5LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD2BODY4LEGS24 absorbed
Perry
Attacking
18HEAD2BODY4LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY5LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the head (60% of attacks) — Perry absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Perry targets the head (75% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Oliveira
RND
Perry
0/0R00/0

Oliveira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.2L5.0W4.5W5.5W1.5L4.5W5.5W5.3W5.2W4.0L5.2W5.0W3.8L5.5L5.8L5.1W4.5W3.6L2.4L6.2L3.4L2015-032016-102018-122021-042022-03
WinLossTrend

Perry · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W6.0L6.1L4.5W1.5L4.5W7.0L2.5L5.0W5.6L6.4L2016-082017-092018-112020-062021-04
WinLossTrend

Oliveira · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Kevin HollandRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R1
Randy BrownRating 2.4
Submission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 3.6
Submission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Peter SobottaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07

Perry · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Mickey GallRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Vicente LuqueRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08

News & Media

Alex Oliveira · Mike Perry
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