METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Sunrise, USA
27 Apr 2019
Welterweight
VS
65%
Oliveira
35%
Perry
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Mike PerrywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alex Oliveira · UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Perry wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Oliveira holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Perry has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Oliveira's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Perry has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OliveiraPerry
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Oliveira
Perry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
71"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oliveira
Perry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.9
16.4
46.5
Performance Avg
44.4
43
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
50
Oliveira
Perry
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
6.7
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
5.4
4.0
Style: Volume
4.4
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
18
1
Body
2
5
Leg
4
RangeRange
15Distance14
0Clinch9
0Ground1
Oliveira
Perry
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oliveira
Perry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/34 fights
Chin rating based on
15/22 fights
Oliveira
Perry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
50
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Oliveira
Perry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
57%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oliveira
Perry
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
OliveiraPerry
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedPerry
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the head (60% of attacks) — Perry absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Perry targets the head (75% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oliveira
RND
Perry
0/0R00/0
Oliveira · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Kevin HollandKO/TKO
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceDecision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R1
Randy BrownSubmission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Shavkat RakhmonovSubmission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Peter SobottaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Perry · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansDecision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Mickey GallDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Geoff NealKO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Vicente LuqueDecision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08