UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
Las Vegas, USA
22 Feb 2014
Lightweight
VS
46%
Chavez
54%
Cedeno
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
EC
Ernest Chavez
"EJ"
10 – 2
5'8"70" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 10
YC
Yosdenis Cedeno
"Pink Panther"
10 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 12

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cedeno

This is a genuine toss-up — Chavez at 46% vs Cedeno at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Chavez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Chavez's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Chavez
Cedeno
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
69"
42
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Chavez
Cedeno
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.0
11.6
28.3
Performance Avg
28.0
25
Quality of Victory
30
27
Momentum Score
36
Chavez
Cedeno
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.7
37%
Strike Accuracy
29%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
11
2
Body
0
7
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance13
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Chavez
Cedeno
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Chavez
Cedeno
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Chavez
Cedeno
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
36
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · R1
L · Dec · R3
Chavez
Cedeno
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chavez
Cedeno
Striking0.7 / 0.5Volume8.7 / 0.5Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Chavez
Strike Zones
Cedeno
Chavez
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY7LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Cedeno
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY7LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Chavez targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Cedeno absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Cedeno targets the head (85% of attacks) — Chavez absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Chavez
RND
Cedeno
0/0R00/0

Chavez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0104.5W4.0L2.0L2014-022014-052014-10
WinLossTrend

Cedeno · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5L4.0W5.5L5.5L2014-022014-072014-102015-07
WinLossTrend

Chavez · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Zubaira TukhugovRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
L · Sub · R3
Elias SilverioRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Yosdenis CedenoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02

Cedeno · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Cody PfisterRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Chad LapriseRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · R1
Jerrod SandersRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Ernest ChavezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02

News & Media

Ernest Chavez · Yosdenis Cedeno
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