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UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
Las Vegas, USA
22 Feb 2014
Lightweight
VS
46%
Chavez
54%
Cedeno
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
EC
Ernest Chavez
"EJ"
102
5'8"70" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 10
YC
Yosdenis Cedeno
"Pink Panther"
106
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 12
★ Official Result
Ernest ChavezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Yosdenis Cedeno · UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cedeno
Actual result
Chavez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Chavez at 46% vs Cedeno at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Chavez's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ChavezCedeno
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Chavez
Cedeno
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
69"
43
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Chavez
Cedeno
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.0
11.6
28.3
Performance Avg
28.0
25
Quality of Victory
30
27
Momentum Score
36
Chavez
Cedeno
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.0
Style: Pressure
0.8
8.7
Style: Volume
0.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
11
2
Body
0
7
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance13
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Chavez
Cedeno
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chavez
Cedeno
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Chavez
Cedeno
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
36
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · R1
L · Dec · R3
Chavez
Cedeno
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chavez
Cedeno
Striking0.7 / 0.5Volume8.7 / 0.5Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Chavez
Strike Zones
Cedeno
Chavez
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY7LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Cedeno
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY7LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Chavez targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Cedeno absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Cedeno targets the head (85% of attacks) — Chavez absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Chavez
RND
Cedeno
0/0R00/0

Chavez · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Zubaira Tukhugov
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
L · Sub · R3
Elias Silverio
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Yosdenis Cedeno
Decision
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02

Cedeno · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Cody Pfister
Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Chad Laprise
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · R1
Jerrod Sanders
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Ernest Chavez
Decision
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02

News & Media

Ernest Chavez · Yosdenis Cedeno
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