UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
Las Vegas, USA
28 Nov 2020
Heavyweight
VS
56%
Parisian
44%
Porter
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Josh
Josh Parisian
158
6'4"79" reachOrthodox36 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 36
PP
Parker Porter
149
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 29

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Parisian

This is a genuine toss-up — Parisian at 56% vs Porter at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Porter has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Parisian's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Porter has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Parisian
Porter
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
75"
36+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Parisian
Porter
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.1
28.5
35.4
Performance Avg
40.2
40
Quality of Victory
34
50
Momentum Score
45
Parisian
Porter
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
3.2
43%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
39
8
Body
2
4
Leg
9
RangeRange
32Distance47
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Parisian
Porter
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Parisian
Porter
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
22
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
7/23 fights
Chin rating based on
8/23 fights
Parisian
Porter
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Parisian
Porter
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Parisian
Porter
Striking5.6 / 3.5Volume4.6 / 7.0Grappling1.2 / 1.8Wrestling0.8 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.4 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Parisian
Strike Zones
Porter
Parisian
Attacking
22HEAD8BODY4LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
39HEAD2BODY9LEGS50 absorbed
Porter
Attacking
39HEAD2BODY9LEGS50 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD8BODY4LEGS34 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Parisian targets the head (65% of attacks) — Porter absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Porter targets the head (78% of attacks) — Parisian absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Parisian
RND
Porter
0/0R00/0

Parisian · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.5L4.5W4.3L5.2W5.7L2.5L2.3L2020-112021-122023-022024-03
WinLossTrend

Porter · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0101.8L4.6W4.5W4.5W3.3L3.1L5.0W2.3L2020-082021-082022-052023-052023-08
WinLossTrend

Parisian · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Robelis DespaigneRating 2.3
KO/TKO
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Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Jamal PoguesRating 5.7
Decision
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W · KO · R2
Alan BaudotRating 5.2
KO/TKO
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L · KO · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 4.3
KO/TKO
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Porter · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Junior TafaRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · KO · R1
Braxton SmithRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
L · KO · R1
Justin TafaRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3
Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Alan BaudotRating 4.5
Decision
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News & Media

Josh Parisian · Parker Porter
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