METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
Las Vegas, USA
18 Jan 2020
Lightweight
VS
25%
Pettis
75%
Ferreira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:46
★ Official Result
Diego FerreirawinsSubmissionR2 · 1:46
def. Anthony Pettis · UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ferreira
→
Actual result
Ferreira wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Ferreira is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Pettis's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ferreira has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PettisFerreira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pettis
Ferreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
72"
Reach
+74"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pettis
Ferreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
57.1
52.6
Performance Avg
50.5
51
Quality of Victory
44
72
Momentum Score
100
Pettis
Ferreira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
6.1
Style: Pressure
6.3
4.0
Style: Volume
4.1
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance2
1Clinch0
0Ground3
Pettis
Ferreira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
3.6
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
4
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pettis
Ferreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
6
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/34 fights
Chin rating based on
18/26 fights
Pettis
Ferreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Pettis
Ferreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
64%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
4
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pettis
Ferreira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
PettisFerreira
Strike Zones
Pettis
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedFerreira
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pettis targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Ferreira targets the head (80% of attacks) — Pettis absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pettis
RND
Ferreira
0/0R00/0
Pettis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
W · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneDecision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Sub · R2
Diego FerreiraSubmission
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Nate DiazDecision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · KO · R2
Stephen ThompsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
Ferreira · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · KO · R2
Alexander HernandezKO/TKO
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Grant DawsonDecision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R3
Mateusz RebeckiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05