UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum
Shanghai, China
25 Nov 2017
Middleweight
VS
33%
Bisping
67%
Gastelum
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:30
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gastelum
Gastelum holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Bisping has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bisping has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bisping's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gastelum has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Bisping
Gastelum
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
71"
47
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Bisping
Gastelum
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.5
41.4
55.3
Performance Avg
47.4
46
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
28
Bisping
Gastelum
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
43%
6.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
10 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
7
1
Body
5
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance9
0Clinch1
0Ground4
Bisping
Gastelum
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bisping
Gastelum
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
38
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/39 fights
Chin rating based on
26/32 fights
Bisping
Gastelum
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Bisping
Gastelum
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
36%
10
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bisping
Gastelum
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
BispingGastelum
Strike Zones
Bisping
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedGastelum
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bisping targets the head (71% of attacks) — Gastelum absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Gastelum targets the head (50% of attacks) — Bisping absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bisping
RND
Gastelum
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bisping · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Gastelum · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Bisping · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kelvin GastelumRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Sub · R3
Georges St-PierreRating 2.8Submission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Dan HendersonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Luke RockholdRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
W · Dec · R5
Anderson SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
Gastelum · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Dustin StoltzfusRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Joe PyferRating 7.5Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · Sub · R3
Sean BradyRating 5.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
