UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
Houston, USA
3 Oct 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
64%
Namajunas
36%
Hill
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:47
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Namajunas
Namajunas holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Hill has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Namajunas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Hill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Namajunas's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hill has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Namajunas
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'3"
65"+
Reach
64"
33+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Namajunas
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.2
36.2
55.9
Performance Avg
36.7
51
Quality of Victory
31
100
Momentum Score
40
Namajunas
Hill
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.9
41%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
8
1
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
11Distance9
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Namajunas
Hill
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Namajunas
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
48
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Namajunas
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Namajunas
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
15%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Namajunas
Hill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
NamajunasHill
Strike Zones
Namajunas
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedHill
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Namajunas targets the head (92% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the head (67% of attacks) — Namajunas absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Namajunas
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0
Namajunas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Hill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Namajunas · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Tracy CortezRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Amanda RibasRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
Hill · Last 5
Upcoming
Xiong JingnanUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Fatima KlineRating 7.1Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen SouzaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08