UFC 69: Shootout
Houston, USA
7 Apr 2007
Welterweight
VS
91%
Cummo
9%
Haynes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cummo
Cummo is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cummo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
Cummo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Haynes has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cummo
Haynes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
74"
Reach
46+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cummo
Haynes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.9
1.5
45.1
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
20
Momentum Score
0
Cummo
Haynes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.2
48%
Strike Accuracy
16%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
9
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance2
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Cummo
Haynes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cummo
Haynes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/12 fights
Chin rating based on
3/25 fights
Cummo
Haynes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Cummo
Haynes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cummo
Haynes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
CummoHaynes
Strike Zones
Cummo
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedHaynes
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cummo targets the head (55% of attacks) — Haynes absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Haynes targets the body (67% of attacks) — Cummo absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cummo
RND
Haynes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cummo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Haynes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Cummo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tamdan McCroryRating 5.5Decision
UFC 87: Seek And Destroy · 2008-08
L · Dec · R3
Luigi FioravantiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
W · KO · R1
Edilberto de OliveiraRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
W · KO · R2
Josh HaynesRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 69: Shootout · 2007-04
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan GouletRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night 5 · 2006-06
Haynes · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Luke CummoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 69: Shootout · 2007-04
L · Dec · R3
Rory SingerRating 5.5Decision
Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter · 2006-10
L · KO · R2
Michael BispingRating 2.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Ortiz vs. Team Shamrock Finale · 2006-06