UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira
Las Vegas, USA
19 Oct 2024
Heavyweight
VS
22%
Lane
78%
Despaigne
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Despaigne
Despaigne is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Despaigne has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Striking split: Lane throws more volume but Despaigne connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lane's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lane
Despaigne
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"
Height
+6'7"
80"
Reach
+84"
38
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lane
Despaigne
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
50.8
21.7
Performance Avg
49.3
25
Quality of Victory
60
0
Momentum Score
43
Lane
Despaigne
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
74%
0.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
8
1
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch7
2Ground0
Lane
Despaigne
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lane
Despaigne
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/21 fights
Chin rating based on
3/7 fights
Lane
Despaigne
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Lane
Despaigne
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lane
Despaigne
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
LaneDespaigne
Strike Zones
Lane
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedDespaigne
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lane targets the head (60% of attacks) — Despaigne absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Despaigne targets the head (73% of attacks) — Lane absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lane
RND
Despaigne
0/0R00/0
Lane · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Despaigne · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Lane · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Iwo BaraniewskiRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Mario PintoRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Robelis DespaigneRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
Despaigne · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Austen LaneRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · KO · R1
Josh ParisianRating 5.1KO/TKO
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