UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2024
Middleweight
VS
68%
Anders
32%
Pickett
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Anders
Anders holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Pickett has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Anders has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Anders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Anders's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pickett has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Anders
Pickett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+80"
39
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Anders
Pickett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.9
24.1
45.4
Performance Avg
23.9
41
Quality of Victory
25
79
Momentum Score
45
Anders
Pickett
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.9
53%
Strike Accuracy
40%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Anders
Pickett
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Anders
Pickett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
26
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
9/24 fights
Anders
Pickett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
45
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Anders
Pickett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anders
Pickett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.7
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
AndersPickett
Strike Zones
Anders
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedPickett
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anders targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Pickett targets the body (100% of attacks) — Anders absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anders
RND
Pickett
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Anders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Pickett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Anders · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5Decision
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Jamie PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5.5Decision
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Pickett · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Josh FremdRating 5.5Decision
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Bo NickalRating 3.2Submission
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Denis TiuliulinRating 2.8KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
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