METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2024
Middleweight
VS
72%
Anders
28%
Pickett
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Eryk AnderswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jamie Pickett · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Anders
→
Actual result
Anders wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Anders is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Anders has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Anders's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pickett has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AndersPickett
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Anders
Pickett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+80"
39
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Anders
Pickett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.9
20.0
45.4
Performance Avg
23.9
41
Quality of Victory
25
79
Momentum Score
45
Anders
Pickett
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
0.7
5.0
Style: Volume
8.4
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Anders
Pickett
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anders
Pickett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
26
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
9/24 fights
Anders
Pickett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
45
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Anders
Pickett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anders
Pickett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.7
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
AndersPickett
Strike Zones
Anders
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedPickett
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anders targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Pickett targets the body (100% of attacks) — Anders absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anders
RND
Pickett
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Anders · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R2
Chris WeidmanKO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultDecision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
Pickett · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Josh FremdDecision
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L · Sub · R1
Bo NickalSubmission
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L · KO · R2
Denis TiuliulinKO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Sub · R1
Kyle DaukausSubmission
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