METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jan 2025
Welterweight
VS
42%
Soriano
58%
Medic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:31
★ Official Result
Punahele SorianowinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:31
def. Uros Medic · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Medic
→
Actual result
Soriano wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Soriano at 42% vs Medic at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Medic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Soriano's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Medic has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SorianoMedic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Soriano
Medic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"+
Reach
71"
33
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Soriano
Medic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.5
72.8
49.9
Performance Avg
64.7
44
Quality of Victory
59
64
Momentum Score
100
Soriano
Medic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.9
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
9.2
4.6
Style: Volume
1.4
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Soriano
Medic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Soriano
Medic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/17 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Soriano
Medic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
100
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Soriano
Medic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Soriano
Medic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.2
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.4
SorianoMedic
Strike Zones
Soriano
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMedic
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Soriano targets the head (92% of attacks) — Medic absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Medic targets the head (50% of attacks) — Soriano absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Soriano
RND
Medic
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Soriano · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Ramiz BrahimajDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Nikolay VeretennikovDecision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Uros MedicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Miguel BaezaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
Medic · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Daniel RodriguezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
W · KO · R1
Geoff NealKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gilbert UrbinaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Punahele SorianoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01