METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jan 2025
Welterweight
VS
43%
Soriano
57%
Medic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:31
★ Official Result
Punahele SorianowinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:31
def. Uros Medic · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Medic
→
Actual result
Soriano wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Soriano at 43% vs Medic at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Medic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Medic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Soriano's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Medic has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SorianoMedic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Soriano
Medic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"+
Reach
71"
33
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Soriano
Medic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.8
71.6
52.0
Performance Avg
62.7
44
Quality of Victory
58
64
Momentum Score
100
Soriano
Medic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
2.9
55%
Strike Accuracy
63%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Soriano
Medic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Soriano
Medic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/17 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
Soriano
Medic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
100
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Soriano
Medic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Soriano
Medic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.1
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.4
SorianoMedic
Strike Zones
Soriano
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMedic
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Soriano targets the head (92% of attacks) — Medic absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Medic targets the head (50% of attacks) — Soriano absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Soriano
RND
Medic
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Soriano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Medic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Soriano · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Ramiz BrahimajRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 4.9Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Miguel BaezaRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Sub · R2
Dustin StoltzfusRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
Medic · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gilbert UrbinaRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Punahele SorianoRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · KO · R1
Tim MeansRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04