UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jan 2025
Welterweight
VS
43%
Soriano
57%
Medic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:31
Punahele
Punahele Soriano
"Puna"
13 – 4
5'11"72" reachSouthpaw33 yrs4-fight win streakStriker
CFR 55
Uros
Uros Medic
"The Doctor"
13 – 3
Knockout Artist3-fight win streak33 yrsSouthpaw71" reach6'1"
CFR 72

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Medic

This is a genuine toss-up — Soriano at 43% vs Medic at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Medic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Medic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Soriano's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Medic has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Soriano
Medic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"+
Reach
71"
33
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Soriano
Medic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.8
71.6
52.0
Performance Avg
62.7
44
Quality of Victory
58
64
Momentum Score
100
Soriano
Medic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.9
55%
Strike Accuracy
63%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Soriano
Medic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Soriano
Medic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/17 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
Soriano
Medic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
100
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Soriano
Medic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Soriano
Medic
Striking7.0 / 10.0Volume4.7 / 1.4Grappling1.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.9 / 9.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.1
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.4
Soriano
Strike Zones
Medic
Soriano
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Medic
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Soriano targets the head (92% of attacks) — Medic absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Medic targets the head (50% of attacks) — Soriano absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Soriano
RND
Medic
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Soriano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W5.4W6.8L5.5L5.2W3.7L2.8L5.1W6.8W4.9W6.0W2019-122022-022023-122025-102026-02
WinLossTrend

Medic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W2.7L5.2W6.0W4.4L5.1W2.5L5.6W6.0W6.0W2021-032023-072025-012026-02
WinLossTrend

Soriano · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Ramiz BrahimajRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Miguel BaezaRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Sub · R2
Dustin StoltzfusRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

Medic · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gilbert UrbinaRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Punahele SorianoRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · KO · R1
Tim MeansRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04

News & Media

Punahele Soriano · Uros Medic
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