UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Sydney, Australia
31 Jan 2026
Lightweight
VS
67%
Salkilld
33%
Mullarkey
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:02
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Salkilld
Salkilld holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Mullarkey has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Salkilld has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Salkilld has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Mullarkey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Salkilld
Mullarkey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
26+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Salkilld
Mullarkey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
77.9
38.1
71.1
Performance Avg
40.0
52
Quality of Victory
36
100
Momentum Score
51
Salkilld
Mullarkey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
1.6
59%
Strike Accuracy
45%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
1
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Salkilld
Mullarkey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Salkilld
Mullarkey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/13 fights
Chin rating based on
13/27 fights
Salkilld
Mullarkey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
51
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Salkilld
Mullarkey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Salkilld
Mullarkey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
SalkilldMullarkey
Strike Zones
Salkilld
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMullarkey
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Salkilld targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Mullarkey absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Mullarkey targets the head (100% of attacks) — Salkilld absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Salkilld
RND
Mullarkey
0/0R00/0
Salkilld · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Mullarkey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Salkilld · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Sub · R1
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.2Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Nasrat HaqparastRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Yanal AshmouzRating 5.4Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Anshul JubliRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
Mullarkey · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuffyRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R1
Nasrat HaqparastRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09