METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale
Las Vegas, USA
4 Jun 2011
Welterweight
VS
44%
Harvison
56%
Edwards
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Clay HarvisonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Justin Edwards · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Edwards
→
Actual result
Harvison wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Harvison at 44% vs Edwards at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Edwards has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Harvison's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Edwards has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HarvisonEdwards
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Harvison
Edwards
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
70"
45
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Harvison
Edwards
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.0
12.9
28.3
Performance Avg
35.1
25
Quality of Victory
40
27
Momentum Score
26
Harvison
Edwards
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
1.0
Style: Pressure
4.4
8.7
Style: Volume
4.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
7
3
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance7
5Clinch2
3Ground0
Harvison
Edwards
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Harvison
Edwards
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
60
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/19 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Harvison
Edwards
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Harvison
Edwards
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Harvison
Edwards
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
HarvisonEdwards
Strike Zones
Harvison
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedEdwards
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Harvison targets the head (85% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Edwards targets the head (78% of attacks) — Harvison absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Harvison
RND
Edwards
0/0R00/0
Harvison · Last 3
L · KO · R1
DaMarques JohnsonKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R2
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UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Dec · R3
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The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06
Edwards · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Joe ProctorSubmission
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L · KO · R1
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W · Sub · R1
Josh NeerSubmission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Dec · R3
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