METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale
Las Vegas, USA
4 Jun 2011
Welterweight
VS
44%
Harvison
56%
Edwards
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Clay HarvisonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Justin Edwards · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Edwards
→
Actual result
Harvison wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Harvison at 44% vs Edwards at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Edwards has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Harvison has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Harvison's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Edwards has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HarvisonEdwards
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Harvison
Edwards
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
70"
45
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Harvison
Edwards
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.0
12.9
28.3
Performance Avg
35.1
25
Quality of Victory
40
27
Momentum Score
26
Harvison
Edwards
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.7
48%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
7
3
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance7
5Clinch2
3Ground0
Harvison
Edwards
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Harvison
Edwards
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
60
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/19 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Harvison
Edwards
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Harvison
Edwards
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Harvison
Edwards
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
HarvisonEdwards
Strike Zones
Harvison
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedEdwards
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Harvison targets the head (85% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Edwards targets the head (78% of attacks) — Harvison absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Harvison
RND
Edwards
0/0R00/0
Harvison · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.9WinLossTrend
Edwards · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Harvison · Last 3
L · KO · R1
DaMarques JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos · 2011-11
L · Sub · R2
Seth BaczynskiRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Dec · R3
Justin EdwardsRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06
Edwards · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Joe ProctorRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Ramsey NijemRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Brandon ThatchRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
W · Sub · R1
Josh NeerRating 5Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Dec · R3
John MaguireRating 5.5Decision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11