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UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
20 May 2023
Women's Strawweight
VS
46%
Kowalkiewicz
54%
Demopoulos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Karolina
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
1610
5'3"64" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 33
Vanessa
Vanessa Demopoulos
"Lil Monster"
118
Well-Rounded3-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox59" reach5'2"
CFR 38
★ Official Result
Karolina KowalkiewiczwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Vanessa Demopoulos · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Demopoulos
Actual result
Kowalkiewicz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Kowalkiewicz at 46% vs Demopoulos at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Kowalkiewicz's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
KowalkiewiczDemopoulos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Kowalkiewicz
Demopoulos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"+
Height
5'2"
64"+
Reach
59"
40
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kowalkiewicz
Demopoulos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.7
38.0
35.6
Performance Avg
38.5
28
Quality of Victory
31
40
Momentum Score
30
Kowalkiewicz
Demopoulos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
2.2
Style: Pressure
2.9
8.1
Style: Volume
7.4
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
16
7
Body
2
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
42Distance18
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Kowalkiewicz
Demopoulos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kowalkiewicz
Demopoulos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
11/19 fights
Kowalkiewicz
Demopoulos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
30
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Kowalkiewicz
Demopoulos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kowalkiewicz
Demopoulos
Striking0.9 / 1.0Volume8.1 / 7.4Grappling3.0 / 3.5Wrestling2.1 / 2.5Submission1.1 / 2.0Pressure2.2 / 2.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
2.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
Kowalkiewicz
Strike Zones
Demopoulos
Kowalkiewicz
Attacking
31HEAD7BODY4LEGS42 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD2BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Demopoulos
Attacking
16HEAD2BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD7BODY4LEGS42 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kowalkiewicz targets the head (74% of attacks) — Demopoulos absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Demopoulos targets the head (89% of attacks) — Kowalkiewicz absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kowalkiewicz
RND
Demopoulos
0/0R00/0

Kowalkiewicz · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Julia Polastri
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Denise Gomes
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin Lucindo
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Diana Belbita
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa Demopoulos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05

Demopoulos · Last 5

Upcoming
Yazmin Jauregui
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Talita Alencar
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R1
Jaqueline Amorim
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Emily Ducote
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

News & Media

Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Vanessa Demopoulos
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