UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
20 May 2023
Women's Strawweight
VS
46%
Kowalkiewicz
54%
Demopoulos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Demopoulos
This is a genuine toss-up — Kowalkiewicz at 46% vs Demopoulos at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Kowalkiewicz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kowalkiewicz's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kowalkiewicz
Demopoulos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"+
Height
5'2"
64"+
Reach
59"
40
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kowalkiewicz
Demopoulos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.7
38.0
35.6
Performance Avg
38.5
28
Quality of Victory
31
40
Momentum Score
30
Kowalkiewicz
Demopoulos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
41%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
16
7
Body
2
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
42Distance18
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Kowalkiewicz
Demopoulos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kowalkiewicz
Demopoulos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
10/19 fights
Kowalkiewicz
Demopoulos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
30
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Kowalkiewicz
Demopoulos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kowalkiewicz
Demopoulos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
2.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
KowalkiewiczDemopoulos
Strike Zones
Kowalkiewicz
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedDemopoulos
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kowalkiewicz targets the head (74% of attacks) — Demopoulos absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Demopoulos targets the head (89% of attacks) — Kowalkiewicz absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kowalkiewicz
RND
Demopoulos
0/0R00/0
Kowalkiewicz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Demopoulos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Kowalkiewicz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Julia PolastriRating 4.6KO/TKO
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UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
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L · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 6.2Decision
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