UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
Las Vegas, USA
1 Oct 2022
Lightweight
VS
56%
Davis
44%
Borshchev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Mike
Mike Davis
"Beast Boy"
12 – 3
6'0"72" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 57
Viacheslav
Viacheslav Borshchev
"Slava Claus"
8 – 7
Striker3-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'11"
CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Davis

This is a genuine toss-up — Davis at 56% vs Borshchev at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Borshchev throws more volume but Davis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Borshchev has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Davis
Borshchev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
72"+
Reach
69"
33+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Davis
Borshchev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
45.4
53.1
Performance Avg
41.3
41
Quality of Victory
47
65
Momentum Score
40
Davis
Borshchev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.8
56%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
10
2
Body
3
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance16
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Davis
Borshchev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Davis
Borshchev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
Davis
Borshchev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
40
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Davis
Borshchev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Davis
Borshchev
Striking5.4 / 7.3Volume4.6 / 3.3Grappling2.6 / 0.8Wrestling1.8 / 0.6Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure6.3 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Davis
Strike Zones
Borshchev
Davis
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY3LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY3LEGS16 absorbed
Borshchev
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY3LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY3LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the head (38% of attacks) — Borshchev absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Borshchev targets the head (63% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Davis
RND
Borshchev
0/0R00/0

Davis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0103.0L5.5W5.5W5.0W5.2W6.7L5.2W2019-042021-012024-032025-07
WinLossTrend

Borshchev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.0W5.6L6.6L5.5W3.5L4.5W7.0L3.0L5.6L2022-012023-052025-022025-11
WinLossTrend

Davis · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Mitch RamirezRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Sub · R2
Natan LevyRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Mason JonesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01

Borshchev · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Matheus CamiloRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Sub · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 3
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Tom NolanRating 7
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
James LlontopRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · Sub · R2
Chase HooperRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

News & Media

Mike Davis · Viacheslav Borshchev
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