METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
Las Vegas, USA
1 Oct 2022
Lightweight
VS
55%
Davis
45%
Borshchev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Mike DaviswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Viacheslav Borshchev · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Davis
→
Actual result
Davis wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Davis at 55% vs Borshchev at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Borshchev has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DavisBorshchev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Davis
Borshchev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
72"+
Reach
69"
33+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Davis
Borshchev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.2
45.4
49.5
Performance Avg
41.3
41
Quality of Victory
47
65
Momentum Score
40
Davis
Borshchev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
7.3
/ 10
6.1
Style: Pressure
5.7
4.5
Style: Volume
3.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
10
2
Body
3
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance16
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Davis
Borshchev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Davis
Borshchev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/15 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
Davis
Borshchev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
40
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Davis
Borshchev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Davis
Borshchev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
DavisBorshchev
Strike Zones
Davis
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedBorshchev
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the head (38% of attacks) — Borshchev absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Borshchev targets the head (63% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Davis
RND
Borshchev
0/0R00/0
Davis · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Fares ZiamDecision
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W · Sub · R2
Natan LevySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Viacheslav BorshchevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
Borshchev · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Matheus CamiloDecision
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L · Sub · R1
Terrance McKinneySubmission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Tom NolanDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
James LlontopDecision
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L · Sub · R2
Chase HooperSubmission
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