METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
New York City, USA
3 Nov 2018
Heavyweight
VS
34%
Wieczorek
66%
Lima
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AW
Adam Wieczorek
"Siwy"
102
6'5"81" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
Marcos
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
"Pezao"
2210
Striker41 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 39
★ Official Result
Marcos Rogerio de LimawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Adam Wieczorek · UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lima
Actual result
Lima wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Lima holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Wieczorek has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lima has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Risk flags

Lima has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
WieczorekLima
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Wieczorek
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'1"
81"+
Reach
75"
34+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wieczorek
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.5
39.4
49.0
Performance Avg
53.8
37
Quality of Victory
49
83
Momentum Score
59
Wieczorek
Lima
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
6.7
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
6.9
5.3
Style: Volume
3.4
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
1
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Wieczorek
Lima
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Wieczorek
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
16
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
5
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
18/32 fights
Wieczorek
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
59
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Wieczorek
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
73%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wieczorek
Lima
Striking1.3 / 6.7Volume5.3 / 3.4Grappling5.2 / 2.1Wrestling3.6 / 1.5Submission5.0 / 1.8Pressure5.5 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Wieczorek
Strike Zones
Lima
Wieczorek
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Lima
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Wieczorek targets the head (33% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the head (67% of attacks) — Wieczorek absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wieczorek
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0

Wieczorek · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Decision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · Sub · R2
Arjan Bhullar
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Hamilton
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11

Lima · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Junior Tafa
KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Derrick Lewis
KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
W · Sub · R1
Andrei Arlovski
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Blagoy Ivanov
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05

News & Media

Adam Wieczorek · Marcos Rogerio de Lima
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