UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis
Toronto, Canada
20 Jan 2024
Featherweight
VS
47%
Jourdain
53%
Woodson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Woodson
This is a genuine toss-up — Jourdain at 47% vs Woodson at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jourdain has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jourdain's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Woodson has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jourdain
Woodson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'2"
69"
Reach
+78"
30+
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Jourdain
Woodson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.4
56.1
48.6
Performance Avg
52.1
44
Quality of Victory
35
51
Momentum Score
84
Jourdain
Woodson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
2.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
17
10
Body
3
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance19
4Clinch0
0Ground2
Jourdain
Woodson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.4
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jourdain
Woodson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
Jourdain
Woodson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
84
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Jourdain
Woodson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
29%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jourdain
Woodson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
4.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
JourdainWoodson
Strike Zones
Jourdain
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedWoodson
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jourdain targets the body (50% of attacks) — Woodson absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Woodson targets the head (81% of attacks) — Jourdain absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jourdain
RND
Woodson
0/0R00/0
Jourdain · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Woodson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Jourdain · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 5.2Decision
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Woodson · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Dan IgeRating 4.7KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
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