METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
29 Oct 2011
Bantamweight
VS
84%
Jorgensen
16%
Curran
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Scott JorgensenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jeff Curran · UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jorgensen
→
Actual result
Jorgensen wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Jorgensen is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jorgensen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
Risk flags
Jorgensen's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JorgensenCurran
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jorgensen
Curran
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
66"
Reach
+69"
43+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jorgensen
Curran
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.1
2.6
37.9
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
54
Momentum Score
0
Jorgensen
Curran
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.7
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
13
3
Body
7
7
Leg
2
RangeRange
17Distance18
5Clinch4
0Ground0
Jorgensen
Curran
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jorgensen
Curran
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
3/54 fights
Jorgensen
Curran
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Jorgensen
Curran
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jorgensen
Curran
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
JorgensenCurran
Strike Zones
Jorgensen
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedCurran
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jorgensen targets the head (55% of attacks) — Curran absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Curran targets the head (59% of attacks) — Jorgensen absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jorgensen
RND
Curran
0/0R00/0
Jorgensen · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alejandro PerezKO/TKO
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Curran · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Johnny EduardoDecision
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L · Dec · R3
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