UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
Las Vegas, USA
25 May 2013
Welterweight
VS
28%
Smith
72%
Whittaker
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:41
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Whittaker
Whittaker is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Smith has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Striking split: Whittaker throws more volume but Smith connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Smith's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Whittaker has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Smith
Whittaker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
71"
Reach
+73"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Whittaker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
53.4
70.0
Performance Avg
56.0
100
Quality of Victory
46
28
Momentum Score
71
Smith
Whittaker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
8
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Smith
Whittaker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smith
Whittaker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
16
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
25/36 fights
Smith
Whittaker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
71
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Smith
Whittaker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
35%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Whittaker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
SmithWhittaker
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedWhittaker
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Whittaker targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Whittaker
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Whittaker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Smith · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Diego FerreiraRating 2.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
L · Sub · R2
Michael ChiesaRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
L · KO · R3
Robert WhittakerRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
W · Dec · R3
Mike RicciRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
Whittaker · Last 5
Upcoming
Nikita KrylovUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02