METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC: Silva vs Irvin
Las Vegas, USA
19 Jul 2008
Heavyweight
VS
64%
Velasquez
36%
O'Brien
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:02
★ Official Result
Cain VelasquezwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:02
def. Jake O'Brien · UFC: Silva vs Irvin
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Velasquez
→
Actual result
Velasquez wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Velasquez holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but O'Brien has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Velasquez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Risk flags
Velasquez's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
O'Brien has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VelasquezO'Brien
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Velasquez
O'Brien
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
77"+
Reach
76"
44
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Velasquez
O'Brien
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
14.6
69.4
Performance Avg
42.4
62
Quality of Victory
33
100
Momentum Score
50
Velasquez
O'Brien
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.9
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
8.2
Style: Pressure
3.5
2.9
Style: Volume
7.1
10 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
1Clinch0
23Ground0
Velasquez
O'Brien
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Velasquez
O'Brien
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
44
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/17 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Velasquez
O'Brien
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
50
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Velasquez
O'Brien
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
25%
10
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Velasquez
O'Brien
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
VelasquezO'Brien
Strike Zones
Velasquez
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedO'Brien
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Velasquez targets the head (96% of attacks) — O'Brien absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯O'Brien targets the head (100% of attacks) — Velasquez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Velasquez
RND
O'Brien
0/0R00/0
Velasquez · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R1
Travis BrowneKO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · Sub · R3
Fabricio WerdumSubmission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · KO · R5
Junior Dos SantosKO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaKO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
O'Brien · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jon JonesSubmission
UFC 100 · 2009-07
W · Dec · R3
Christian WellischDecision
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezKO/TKO
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
L · KO · R2
Andrei ArlovskiKO/TKO
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
W · Dec · R3
Heath HerringDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01