UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Doha, Qatar
22 Nov 2025
Middleweight
VS
39%
Naurdiev
61%
Loder
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:26
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Loder
Loder holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Naurdiev has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Loder has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 66 points.
Loder has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Loder has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Naurdiev
Loder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+76"
29+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Naurdiev
Loder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.4
70.5
43.1
Performance Avg
73.3
34
Quality of Victory
100
45
Momentum Score
43
Naurdiev
Loder
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
4.2
58%
Strike Accuracy
68%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Naurdiev
Loder
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Naurdiev
Loder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/33 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Naurdiev
Loder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Naurdiev
Loder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Naurdiev
Loder
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
NaurdievLoder
Strike Zones
Naurdiev
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedLoder
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Naurdiev targets the head (67% of attacks) — Loder absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Loder targets the head (100% of attacks) — Naurdiev absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Naurdiev
RND
Loder
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Naurdiev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Loder · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Naurdiev · Last 5
Upcoming
Marvin VettoriUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Ryan LoderRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.8Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Sean BradyRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
Loder · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Ismail NaurdievRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Azamat BekoevRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R2
Robert ValentinRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08