UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jul 2023
Welterweight
VS
70%
Maddalena
30%
Hafez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JD
Jack Della Maddalena
18 – 4
5'11"73" reachSwitch29 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 64
Bassil
Bassil Hafez
"The Habibi"
9 – 4
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 28

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Maddalena

Maddalena is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Maddalena has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

Maddalena has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Maddalena
Hafez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
73"+
Reach
72"
29+
Age
34
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Maddalena
Hafez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.0
27.7
59.9
Performance Avg
28.3
46
Quality of Victory
25
80
Momentum Score
33
Maddalena
Hafez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.0
56%
Strike Accuracy
38%
6.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
6
14
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
32Distance6
10Clinch1
1Ground0
Maddalena
Hafez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maddalena
Hafez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/22 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Maddalena
Hafez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Maddalena
Hafez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maddalena
Hafez
Striking6.6 / 0.7Volume4.6 / 8.7Grappling1.9 / 2.4Wrestling1.3 / 1.7Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Maddalena
Strike Zones
Hafez
Maddalena
Attacking
29HEAD14BODY0LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Hafez
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD14BODY0LEGS43 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maddalena targets the head (67% of attacks) — Hafez absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Hafez targets the head (86% of attacks) — Maddalena absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maddalena
RND
Hafez
0/0R00/0

Maddalena · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.7W5.0W5.0W5.9W4.5W5.1W5.7W5.6W7.5L5.0L2022-012023-022024-032026-05
WinLossTrend

Hafez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0107.0L5.0W4.7L2023-072024-062024-11
WinLossTrend

Maddalena · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Carlos PratesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R5
Islam MakhachevRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

Hafez · Last 3

L · KO · R3
Oban ElliottRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Mickey GallRating 5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07

News & Media

Jack Della Maddalena · Bassil Hafez
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