UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Aug 2024
Bantamweight
VS
52%
Sandhagen
48%
Nurmagomedov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Cory
Cory Sandhagen
18 – 6
5'11"70" reachSwitch34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 64
Umar
Umar Nurmagomedov
20 – 1
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak30 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 60

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sandhagen

This is a genuine toss-up — Sandhagen at 52% vs Nurmagomedov at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Nurmagomedov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Sandhagen
Nurmagomedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
69"
34
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Sandhagen
Nurmagomedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.2
60.4
53.8
Performance Avg
57.2
44
Quality of Victory
36
100
Momentum Score
75
Sandhagen
Nurmagomedov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
62%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
1
Body
5
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sandhagen
Nurmagomedov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sandhagen
Nurmagomedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/24 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Sandhagen
Nurmagomedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
75
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Sandhagen
Nurmagomedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
38%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sandhagen
Nurmagomedov
Striking5.9 / 3.0Volume4.3 / 6.8Grappling1.6 / 3.5Wrestling1.1 / 2.5Submission0.9 / 2.5Pressure5.9 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Sandhagen
Strike Zones
Nurmagomedov
Sandhagen
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD5BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Nurmagomedov
Attacking
6HEAD5BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sandhagen targets the head (50% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (50% of attacks) — Sandhagen absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sandhagen
RND
Nurmagomedov
0/0R00/0

Sandhagen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.2W5.2W6.1W4.5W4.5W2.5L5.1W5.0W5.6L7.0L5.7W5.3W5.7W6.8L6.2W6.8L2018-012019-082021-072023-082025-10
WinLossTrend

Nurmagomedov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.2W5.3W5.7W5.8W5.6W6.0W6.8L5.6W5.6W2021-012023-012025-012026-01
WinLossTrend

Sandhagen · Last 5

Upcoming
Mario Bautista
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08

Nurmagomedov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Bekzat AlmakhanRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

News & Media

Cory Sandhagen · Umar Nurmagomedov
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