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UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Aug 2024
Bantamweight
VS
53%
Sandhagen
47%
Nurmagomedov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Cory
Cory Sandhagen
186
5'11"70" reachSwitch34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 63
Umar
Umar Nurmagomedov
201
Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 57
★ Official Result
Umar NurmagomedovwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Cory Sandhagen · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sandhagen
Actual result
Nurmagomedov wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Sandhagen at 53% vs Nurmagomedov at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SandhagenNurmagomedov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Sandhagen
Nurmagomedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
69"
34
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Sandhagen
Nurmagomedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.1
56.7
52.1
Performance Avg
53.6
44
Quality of Victory
36
100
Momentum Score
75
Sandhagen
Nurmagomedov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
5.0
4.2
Style: Volume
6.6
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
1
Body
5
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sandhagen
Nurmagomedov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sandhagen
Nurmagomedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
17/24 fights
Chin rating based on
10/21 fights
Sandhagen
Nurmagomedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
75
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Sandhagen
Nurmagomedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
38%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sandhagen
Nurmagomedov
Striking5.8 / 2.9Volume4.2 / 6.6Grappling1.6 / 3.5Wrestling1.1 / 2.5Submission0.9 / 2.5Pressure5.8 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Sandhagen
Strike Zones
Nurmagomedov
Sandhagen
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD5BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Nurmagomedov
Attacking
6HEAD5BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sandhagen targets the head (50% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (50% of attacks) — Sandhagen absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sandhagen
RND
Nurmagomedov
0/0R00/0

Sandhagen · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mario Bautista
Decision
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Merab Dvalishvili
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Deiveson Figueiredo
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Umar Nurmagomedov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob Font
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08

Nurmagomedov · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Song Yadong
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Deiveson Figueiredo
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Mario Bautista
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Merab Dvalishvili
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R5
Cory Sandhagen
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

News & Media

Cory Sandhagen · Umar Nurmagomedov
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