METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
Miami, USA
9 Mar 2024
Women's Flyweight
VS
46%
Cerminara
54%
Barber
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Maycee BarberwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Katlyn Cerminara · UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barber
→
Actual result
Barber wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cerminara at 46% vs Barber at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barber has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Cerminara's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CerminaraBarber
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cerminara
Barber
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'5"
68"+
Reach
65"
37
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Cerminara
Barber
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.8
54.8
40.9
Performance Avg
53.3
25
Quality of Victory
38
85
Momentum Score
65
Cerminara
Barber
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
5.5
/ 10
1.9
Style: Pressure
5.1
9.3
Style: Volume
6.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
21
4
Body
8
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
16Distance19
4Clinch11
0Ground1
Cerminara
Barber
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cerminara
Barber
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/24 fights
Chin rating based on
13/18 fights
Cerminara
Barber
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Cerminara
Barber
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cerminara
Barber
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
CerminaraBarber
Strike Zones
Cerminara
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedBarber
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cerminara targets the head (75% of attacks) — Barber absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Barber targets the head (68% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cerminara
RND
Barber
0/0R00/0
Cerminara · Last 5
Upcoming
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