UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
Milwaukee, USA
31 Aug 2013
Flyweight
VS
31%
Gaudinot
69%
Elliott
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Elliott
Elliott holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Gaudinot has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gaudinot has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Elliott has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Elliott has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gaudinot
Elliott
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'7"
63"
Reach
+66"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Gaudinot
Elliott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
36.8
39.7
Performance Avg
37.9
50
Quality of Victory
33
36
Momentum Score
43
Gaudinot
Elliott
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.4
37%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
35
1
Body
6
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
3Distance3
1Clinch6
0Ground37
Gaudinot
Elliott
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.1
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gaudinot
Elliott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
26
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/12 fights
Chin rating based on
22/36 fights
Gaudinot
Elliott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Gaudinot
Elliott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
30%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gaudinot
Elliott
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
GaudinotElliott
Strike Zones
Gaudinot
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedElliott
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gaudinot targets the head (75% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Elliott targets the head (76% of attacks) — Gaudinot absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gaudinot
RND
Elliott
0/0R00/0
Gaudinot · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Elliott · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Gaudinot · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7Decision
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
Upcoming
Phil HarrisUFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6Decision
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
W · Sub · R2
John LinekerRating 5.2Submission
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
L · KO · R3
Johnny BedfordRating 4KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale · 2011-12
Elliott · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1Decision
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